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style="padding-top:8px;">人民幣重歸強勢升值即期匯價首封“漲?！?/td> </tr><tr><td height="25" align="center" class="cbbule"></td></tr> <tr> <td height="3"><hr size="1" color="#CCCCCC" ></td></tr><tr> <td height="20" align="center">http:// 2012-10-26 08:59 作者：來源：</a>上海證券報</a></td> </tr> <tr><td align="center"></td></tr> <tr> <td height="18"><hr size="1" color="#CCCCCC" ></td></tr><tr> <tr> <td class="z14"><p>????6.2417！25日，人民幣即期匯率在繼續(xù)創(chuàng)下匯改以來新高的同時，也在盤中觸及當日1%的交易區(qū)間的上限，并以此作為當天收盤價。這是自人民幣對美元波幅擴大至1%以來，首次收報在當天“漲?！蔽恢谩?/p> <p>????人民幣節(jié)節(jié)走高</p> <p>????此前，人民幣即期市場上的強勢上漲，雖較為接近當日“漲?！蔽恢?，但均不到1%的波幅上限。但昨日午后，卻出現(xiàn)了直接漲至6.2417的“漲?！蔽恢茫⒃谖脖P收報于此，較當日中間價6.3047的波幅恰為1%。</p> <p>????事實上，這已不是即期市場上第一次表現(xiàn)如此強勢。從9月開始，人民幣對美元即期匯率一直處于強勢上漲，本周二和周三，人民幣對美元即期詢價一直收報于6.2480的匯改新高。</p> <p>????對此，交易員表示，昨日盤間美元拋盤兇猛，導(dǎo)致人民幣即期匯率出現(xiàn)了自擴大日波幅至1%以來的首次收報于上限位置，這表明市場對于人民幣匯價繼續(xù)走強的普遍心理預(yù)期。</p> <p>????但究其背后，人民幣近期強勢升值原因較多，主要在于市場對中國經(jīng)濟繼續(xù)下滑擔(dān)憂的舒緩、海外寬松的貨幣政策導(dǎo)致國際資本的持續(xù)流入，同時也包括美國大選前的政治因素。</p> <p>????穩(wěn)中有升或成趨勢</p> <p>????境內(nèi)銀行間外匯市場投資者持續(xù)拋售美元的同時，亞洲地區(qū)熱錢回流的跡象也若隱若現(xiàn)。</p> <p>????此前，香港金管局已四次累計注資逾140億港元，以保持港匯穩(wěn)定。而在本周一，泰國央行則宣布進一步放寬資本賬戶控制，通過鼓勵資本流出方式來緩解泰銖升值壓力。市場人士指出，熱錢重新流入亞洲新興市場或正再次形成階段性大潮，而這將顯著有利于國內(nèi)流動性保持寬松。</p> <p>????招行總行金融市場部高級分析師劉東亮指出，9 月份人民幣即期匯率已開始升值，可擠壓結(jié)匯資金，增加外匯占款的投放，而這也令近期資金面呈現(xiàn)改善勢頭，預(yù)計隨著人民幣在10 月份的進一步升值，10 月的外匯占款將繼續(xù)呈改善勢頭。</p> <p>????而從人民幣對美元匯率中間價來看，也一改此前疲軟態(tài)勢，終止了“四連陰”，昨日上漲了34個基點，1美元對人民幣報6.3047。</p> <p>????從中長期來看，市場預(yù)期今年人民幣匯率仍將在雙向波動過程中，保持穩(wěn)中有升的態(tài)勢。（記者王媛）</p></td></tr><tr><td align="right">編輯：黃祎婧 </td></tr> </table><table width="90%" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tr> <td><hr size="1" color="#CCCCCC" ></hr></td> </tr> <tr> <td><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0"> <tr> <td align="left" valign="top" bgcolor="#FFFFFF"><table width="100%" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tr> <td height="35" class="cNbule"><table width="100%" border="0" cellspacing="0" 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